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Intelligence
Predictions

"In God we trust.
All others we monitor."

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Sherman Kent: "When the evidence seems to force a single and immediate conclusion, then that is the time to worry about one's bigotry, and to do a little conscientious introspection."

Analytical Prediction Reports
Methods

National Intelligence Estimates
  • Summaries - Declassified
  • Wiki
  • Words of Estimative Probability
Predicting Performance with Emotional Intelligence