|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Analytic Methods |
|
|
- Advanced Utility Analysis
- Causal Flow Diagramming
- Decision/Event Tree
- Devil's Advocacy
- Divergent/Convergent Thinking
- Hypothesis
Testing
- Matrix, The
|
|
- Probability Tree
- Problem
Restatement
- Pros-Cons-and-Fixes
- Sorting, Chronologies, and Time Lines
- Utility Matrix
- Utility Tree
- Weighted Ranking
|
|
|
|
| Analytic
Techniques |
|
|
- Argument Evaluation
- Bayesian Analysis
- Causal Loop Diagrams
|
|
- Competing Hypotheses
- Probability Tree Diagrams
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Briefings |
|
|
- BLUF: Bottom Line Up Front
- Assessment
- Likely Q & A
|
|
- Supporting Charts, Tables, or Graphs
- "Action Support" Test
- "So What" Test
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Clearance Levels |
|
|
- Confidential
- Secret
- Top Secret
- Single Scope Background Investigation (SSBI)
- Sensitive Compartmented Information (SCI)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Consumers |
|
|
- President
- Department of Agriculture
- Defense Department
- Department of Energy
- Environmental Protection Agency
- Joint Chiefs of Staff
|
|
- Military
- National Security Advisor
- National Security Council and staff
- NASA
- Policy Makers
- State Department
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elicitation |
|
|
- Proactive Statement
- Quid Pro Quo
- Simple Flattery
- Exploiting the Instinct To Complain
- Word Repetition
- Quotation of Reported Facts
|
|
- Naivite
- Oblique Reference
- Criticism
- Bracketing Techniques
- Feigned or Real Disbelief
- Purposefully Erroneous Statement
|
|
|
|
| Failures
of Intelligence |
|
|
|
|
|
- Overthrow of the Shah
- Marine Corps Barracks Attack in Beirut
- Collapse of Soviet Union
- September 11th
- No WMD in Iraq
|
|
|
|
|
Indications & Warnings (I&W) |
|
|
- Indicators: Defined
- Warning Paradox
- Indications &
Warnings Matrix
- Observer Examples
|
|
- Indicators Examples
- Threats
- Anomalies
- Internal Challenges
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|